Monday, October 13, 2008

Ehhh...it was ugly

So, you are probably wondering what I am referring to. Well, I'm talking about the statistical predictions I made back in March. All in all, I didn't do too well. In fact, I did quite terribly. I would go as far as to say it was utterly embarrassing how poorly I did. Next year, I think I'll spend a little bit more time on it than I did this year. Without further ado, let's examine just what went wrong.

Position Players
Joe Mauer
Predicted: .307/.394/.482, 18 HR, 89 RBI, 11 SB
Actual: .328/.413/.451, 9 HR, 85 RBI, 1 SB

Justin Morneau
Predicted: .288/.360/.553, 36 HR, 122 RBI, 1 SB
Actual: .300/.374/.499, 23 HR, 129 RBI, 0 SB

Brendan Harris
Predicted: .272/.349/.406, 11 HR, 68 RBI, 13 SB
Actual: .265/.327/.394, 7 HR, 49 RBI, 1 SB

Adam Everett
Predicted: .250/.331/.369, 6 HR, 49 RBI, 6 SB
Actual: .213/.278/.323, 2 HR, 20 RBI, 0 SB

Mike Lamb
Predicted: .266/.340/.418, 16 HR, 75 RBI, 2 SB
Actual: .233/.276/.322, 1 HR, 32 RBI, 0 SB

Michael Cuddyer
Predicted: .281/.351/.441, 21 HR, 83 RBI, 7 SB
Actual: .249/.330/.369, 3 HR, 36 RBI, 5 SB

Carlos Gomez
Predicted: .248/.317/.379, 12 HR, 67 RBI, 25 SB
Actual: .258/.296/.360, 7 HR, 59 RBI, 33 SB

Delmon Young
Predicted: .295/.332/.509, 27 HR, 103 RBI, 10 SB
Actual: .290/.336/.405, 10 HR, 69 RBI, 14 SB

Jason Kubel
Predicted: .314/.382/.534, 26 HR, 98 RBI, 3 SB
Actual: .272/.335/.471, 20 HR, 78 RBI, 0 SB

I'm not going to go into much discussion of their seasons, because that's for another post on another day. But it's hard to be close across the board. For instance, I did very well with Young's average and OBP, but then I was on another planet with his slugging, HR, and RBI. Also, for next year, I'll remember that I guessed too high for every single player's slugging percentage and home runs, and only Morneau's RBI total was higher than I had anticipated.

Pitchers
Livan Hernandez
Predicted: 11-15, 5.09, 1.51, 151 K/82 BB
Actual: 10-8, 5.48, 1.63, 54 K/29 BB

Scott Baker
Predicted: 12-12, 4.32, 1.29, 173 K/56 BB
Actual: 11-4, 3.45, 1.18, 141 K/42 BB

Boof Bonser
Predicted: 14-9, 4.11, 1.30, 189 K/69 BB
Actual: 3-7, 5.93, 1.48, 97 K/36 BB

Kevin Slowey
Predicted: 11-10, 4.47, 1.23, 160 K/43 BB
Actual: 12-11, 3.99, 1.15, 123 K/24 BB

Francisco Liriano
Predicted: 12-7, 3.41, 1.11, 196 K/47 BB
Actual: 6-4, 3.91, 1.39, 67 K/32 BB

Joe Nathan
Predicted: 2-3, 2.09, 0.97, 85 K/22 BB
Actual: 1-2, 1.33, 0.90, 74 K/18 BB

Pat Neshek
Predicted: 7-3, 2.95, 1.04, 91 K/24 BB
Actual: 0-1, 4.73, 1.20, 15 K/4 BB

Matt Guerrier
Predicted: 4-5, 3.55, 1.19, 67 K/31 BB
Actual: 6-9, 5.19, 1.59, 59 K/37 BB

Dennys Reyes
Predicted: 2-1, 4.18, 1.43, 37 K/20 BB
Actual: 3-0, 2.33, 1.19, 39 K/15 BB

For the pitchers, it was a little more even; I had some predicted to do too well and some to do too poorly. But, all in all, based on these comparisons, I won't be putting money on any of my predictions next year.

1 comment:

  1. wow dat is bad! you are so bad at dis!! silly boy

    ReplyDelete

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